We will need 15-18 million new jobs in the next five years, just to get back to where we were only a few years ago. Without the creation of whole new industries, that is not going to happen.
Nearly 20% of Americans are not paying anywhere close to the amount of taxes they paid a few years ago, and at least ten million are now collecting some kind of unemployment benefits or welfare.
But new industries require capital, and the conventional capital markets are not lending in order to meet market needs.
Used to be, there was a simple formula for bankers called the 3-6-3 rule; Bankers would give 3% interest on depositors' accounts, lend the depositors money at 6% interest and then be playing golf at 3pm. Lately however, these depositors have been getting a bit troublesome - overextended, not paying according to terms agreed upon, and that sort of thing.
So the banking industry, always sensitive to avoiding risk, (and looking at a way to recapitalize themselves amidst mountains of toxic loans and investments), have found a new approach, which has been enabled by our friends at Treasury.
Borrow money from the Feds at 0%, buy Treasuries that pay 3%, and VOILA ! be back on the golf course at 3pm. Isn't it wonderful how all things old become new again.
Oh, I forgot about that "new industry" stuff, didn't I?
Yes, new capital infusion will be needed to get some new industries going, and it's anyone's guess where THAT will be coming from (new ventures are risky, so there are always the equity markets, VCs and such)
The challenge I see is that in addition to all of the new capital that will be needed to launch new industries, we likely will continue to see workforce reductions in the foreseeable future as existing firms cut back and shut down due to lack of operating / growth capital.
So maybe this issue is a lot bigger, and more complex than any one is willing to talk about?


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